inflation dynamics
From The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, Second Edition, 2008
Edited by
Steven
N.
Durlauf
and
Lawrence
E.
Blume
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Abstract
There have been a number of changes in monetary policy rules in the United States and UK since the early 1960s. The Lucas critique says that this should induce changes in the equilibrium law of motion. This article summarizes reduced-form evidence on the evolving law of motion for inflation in the USA and the UK. Since the 1970s, inflation has become lower on average, less volatile and less persistent. There is also less uncertainty about the central bank's long-run target for inflation.
Keywords
Bank of England; Bretton Woods system; central-bank independence; commitment; European Monetary System (EMU); Federal Reserve System; fixed exchange rates; Greenspan, A.; inflation; inflation dynamics; inflation gap; inflation targeting; inflation volatility; Lucas critique; monetary policy rules; New Keynesian macroeconomics; output gap; Phillips curve; prediction-error variance; sticky price models; supply shocks; Taylor rule; Thatcher, M.; trend inflation; vector autoregressions; Volcker, P.
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How to cite this article
Cogley, Timothy. "inflation dynamics." The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. Second Edition. Eds. Steven N. Durlauf and Lawrence E. Blume. Palgrave Macmillan, 2008. The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics Online. Palgrave Macmillan. 21 May 2013 <http://www.dictionaryofeconomics.com/article?id=pde2008_I000272> doi:10.1057/9780230226203.0792

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